UBS sees the Fed hiking rates by 25bps in Sep' and Dec'26 (prev. no change)

Newsquawk Staff · 7 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTC

What our morning note said

Rates and central banks · about 2 hours before this headline

Desk Schedule: Desk will be open as usual on Sunday, 6th September until 18:00BST/13:00EDT on Monday, 7th September, due to the US market closure.

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Case studies

Headlines from our feed, and what the market did next.

Riksbank maintains its rate at 1.75% as expected; assesses that the probability of a rate increase later this year remains; there is considerable uncertainty and developments call for vigilance
EUR/SEK+0.3%
Norges Bank maintains its rate at 4.25% as expected; may still become necessary to raise the policy rate
EUR/NOK+0.6%
Iran and US talks continue, and reports that the deal is close are wrong.
WTI crude+1.5%

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