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UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final (Apr) 53.7 vs. Exp. 53.6 (Prev. 51.0)

The UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI beat expectations and rose to a near four-year high, indicating stronger output and new orders along with a rebound in staffing levels.

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UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final (Apr) 53.7 vs. Exp. 53.6 (Prev. 51.0)

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  • "The headline PMI rose to a near four-year high, as the trends in output and new orders strengthened. Staffing levels were also increased for the first time in 18 months."
  • "Restrictions on transit through the Strait of Hormuz are causing substantial disruptions to input deliveries, with supplier lead times lengthening to the greatest extent in almost four years."
  • "The resulting material shortages are exerting steep pressure on purchasing costs. Input prices rose at one of the fastest rates in the 34-year survey history, and at a pace rarely exceeded outside of the pandemic-related inflationary surge of 2021-22."
  • "It should also be noted that the gain in production is partly the result of clients bringing forward purchases to mitigate expected price uplifts and supply disruptions. As this process unwinds later in the year, alongside declining business optimism, growth in the sector could cool while inflationary pressures remain on high heat."
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However, persistent supply disruptions, particularly due to transit issues, are driving input costs sharply higher, raising concerns over inflation and potential cooling in growth as forward purchasing unwinds. This mixed signal may lead to volatile reactions in GBP, UK equities, and gilts as markets adjust expectations.

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