US PPI (Sep) 159.78 (Prev. 157.411)
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US PPI (Sep) 159.78 (Prev. 157.411)
Israeli PM Netanyahu to hold a security meeting tonight, in relation to Iran, Al Hadath reports
US reportedly informs IEA nations it’s unhappy with emergency oil release, and has suggested supplementing oil release with extra 100mln barrels
On the Newsquawk feed at , 20 minutes before this page.
Context
A PPI print quoted as index levels alone, without the month-on-month or year-on-year rates and without consensus, is effectively unactionable on its own; the rate of change is what reprices the front end, not the level. The established sequence with producer prices is that the headline moves first, then the detail matters more: the components that feed directly into the core PCE deflator, notably portfolio management, healthcare and airfares, are what desks strip out to refine the Fed's preferred gauge ahead of its release. The case distinction worth drawing is goods versus services: goods-led prints have tended to fade quickly and track commodity pass-through, while sticky services pipeline pressure has historically carried more weight with policymakers. A September-dated release arriving late also flags the data-availability disruptions that have accompanied shutdown episodes, in which backfilled prints have been treated with extra caution and revised. The follow-ons are the core ex-food-and-energy breakdown, any revision to the prior month, and how the PCE-relevant categories map across.
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