US President Trump says Iran doing very poorly, don't know if they are going to give up yet

The read that has mattered in comparable US-Iran episodes is whether such language precedes escalation, a negotiated pause, or drift, since the market transmission differs sharply by case: threats of force have historically worked through crude's geopolitical risk premium, freight and insurance costs in the Gulf, and a bid for gold and the dollar, while hints of talks have unwound the same. The phrasing here, pressure acknowledged but no capitulation claimed, is consistent with a coercive-bargaining posture rather than an imminent kinetic step, and that distinction is what separates a contained headline from a premium-building one. Trump's prior form in this theatre has been to pair maximalist rhetoric with abrupt reversals, so verbal escalation alone has tended to fade unless followed by military or sanctions action. The follow-ons worth noting are any movement in force posture or sanctions enforcement, Iranian retaliation proxies, and whether oil's prompt spreads and tanker rates corroborate the rhetoric.