US President trump says US is capable of destroying Iran, but we do not want to do that

Rhetoric of this kind from a US president toward Iran follows a familiar pattern: coercive messaging paired with an explicit off-ramp, which has historically produced a two-sided tape rather than a directional one. The transmission channel is crude first, with WTI and Brent pricing a Strait of Hormuz risk premium through freight, insurance and front-month spreads, while gold and the yen absorb the safe-haven bid and equities fade at the margin. Episodes of this kind have tended to retrace unless accompanied by physical disruption, troop movements or sanctions enforcement, since jawboning alone has rarely sustained a geopolitical premium beyond the initial session. The distinction worth drawing is between deterrent posturing and an actual policy shift, and the tells are follow-through from the State Department, force posture in the Gulf and any Iranian response rather than the headline itself. Trump has a track record of maximalist language followed by de-escalation, which markets have learned to discount after repeated iterations. Absent a concrete next step, the pattern has been a spike in the energy complex and havens that fades as no escalation materialises.