US Treasury Secretary Bessent says "core inflation was 2.5%, a very good number, moving toward the Fed’s 2% target"
Newsquawk Staff ·
US Treasury Secretary Bessent says "core inflation was 2.5%, a very good number, moving toward the Fed’s 2% target"
What it means
A Treasury Secretary publicly validating the inflation trajectory is a recurring feature of disinflationary phases, when fiscal authorities have an interest in endorsing price stability gains and, implicitly, in the case for easier policy. The relevant distinction is between commentary that merely echoes a released print and commentary that frames it: Bessent's formulation does the latter, characterising the number as good and progress toward target as ongoing, which historically reads as gentle political pressure on the central bank rather than new information. Remarks of this kind from fiscal officials have rarely moved rates pricing on their own; the transmission runs through how they align with or diverge from Fed communication, and through any tension they signal between the administration and the central bank over the policy path. Prior form in episodes where Treasury has leaned toward accommodation is that the market listens to the Fed and treats Treasury commentary as colour, unless it foreshadows institutional friction, which is what has tended to matter at the longer end through term premium rather than the policy path. The follow-ons of note are whether Fed officials echo the same characterisation and whether subsequent commentary from the administration escalates from endorsement of data into explicit rate advocacy, a pattern that has preceded episodes of Fed-White House friction in the past.
Sources
- US Midterm Preview: Democrats Favoured to Flip the House, Senate Too Close to Call
- Newsquawk Daily European Opening News - 23rd October 2026
- Japan's Economy Minister Kiuchi says government decision whether to declare official end to deflation will be made looking comprehensively at CPI, GDP deflator and background behind moves in underlying inflation
- Newsquawk Daily Asia-Pac Opening News - 23rd October 2026
- Canadian PM Carney launches a strategic partnership with Turkey, backed by a three-year action plan
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