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US Treasury Secretary Bessent says the only way to get out of debt is to grow our way out

Subscribers had this at 13:11. Published here 13:31.

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Context

Growth-over-austerity framing from a Treasury Secretary is a familiar posture in episodes where debt ratios are elevated and fiscal consolidation is politically costly; officials in this position have historically emphasised nominal growth and deregulation rather than explicit deficit reduction, and the remarks rarely move the curve on their own. The transmission channel, where one exists, runs through issuance expectations: a grow-out-of-it stance implies continued heavy coupon supply at the long end, which has tended to show up in term premium and auction tails rather than in any immediate repricing. The distinction worth drawing is between rhetoric and the borrowing calendar, since it is the quarterly refunding composition, bills versus coupons, that has historically been the operative signal from Treasury. Prior form from this administration has paired pro-growth language with attention to yields, so verbal intervention around long rates has been a recurring feature. The follow-ons are the refunding statement, any shift in buyback or issuance guidance, and whether the growth claim is paired with concrete revenue or spending measures. As commentary rather than policy, the signal is directional.

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