US Treasury Secretary Bessent says US is not attacking Iran's energy infrastructure; we have allowed Iran oil to continue out of the Gulf, via Fox Business Interview; US may unsanction Iranian oil on the water in the coming days
Importance
Level 1
- Says Strait of Hormuz is a temporary choke point.
- Iranian barrels are about 140mln.
- Will use Iran oil to keep prices down.
- US could do another SPR release to keep prices down.
- US may do a unilateral SPR release.
- Treasury is NOT intervening in the futures market.
- Treasury is intervening in markets by creating excess supply with oil that is on the water.
- Not going to do financial market oil intervention.
- Know where Iran leaders bank accounts are.
- Starting to see defections in Iran.
- Will see if Kharg Islands eventually becomes a US asset.
- In time, oil prices will be lower than before February 28th.
US
- Economy is strong, consumer is strong. US growth can be above 3% this year.
- Fed investigation is not Trump's decision, it is Pirro's.
- Warsh meeting on Hill is going very well.
- There will be a Warsh confirmation hearing.
- What will be held up is the senate vote on Warsh.
- It is out of historic norms if Powell stays on as governor.
Japan
- US President Trump has an excellent relationship with Japanese PM.
- Japan Navy is one of the three great world navies, it has some of the best minesweeps.
- Would not expect Japan to join the bombing campaign on Iran.
- Would expect Japan to be interested in securing oil supplies from Gulf.
- Think Japan is going to supply the market with oil reserves.
China
- Postponed China trip to stay in US during Iran war; the delay was about logistics, not about the Hormuz.
- China was funding the leading sponsor of global terrorism in buying oil from Iran.
- When the US unsanctions Iran oil, it can go to places ex-China.
Cuba
- It will be a slow motion regime change in Cuba.
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