BoJ Governor Ueda says Middle East situation remains uncertain

BoJ Governor Ueda's remarks on the uncertain Middle East situation highlight potential risks to Japan's economic growth, particularly looking ahead to FY26.

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BoJ Governor Ueda says need to be mindful of further economic slowdown depending on supply shock levels; Japan economy has some degree of endurance

China said to be weighing a second green sovereign bond sale, Bloomberg reports

BoJ Governor Ueda says Middle East situation remains uncertain

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Barclays (BARC LN) Q1 2026 (GBP): Revenue 8.16bln (prev. 7.7bln), Investment Bank Revenue 4.03bln (exp. 3.97bln)

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  • Economy recovering modestly albeit with some weakness
  • Japan's economic growth is likely to slow down in FY26 due to Middle East situation
  • Growth to slow in FY26
  • Need to pay close attention to the risk of inflation deviating upwards
  • Will continue to lift the policy rate and adjust the degree of accommodation according to economic activity, prices, and financial conditions
  • Takata suggested including a line on CPI already achieving the target level.
  • Tamura suggested including a line that underlying inflation is in line with the inflation target in the outlook report
Context

His commitment to adjusting policy rates in response to evolving economic conditions indicates a proactive stance toward managing inflation risks, suggesting that monetary policy could tighten further if inflation deviates upwards. This commentary may influence market perceptions of JPY stability and could affect fixed income and commodities, particularly gold amid geopolitical tensions.

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