ECB's de Guindos says the outbreak for the Iran war has made the growth and inflation outlook significantly more uncertain, sharp increase in energy prices poses upside risks for inflation and downside risks for economic growth

Newsquawk StaffPublished 26 Mar 2026, 09:20 UTC

Newsquawk headlinesUTC

Every headline is on the live feed 20 minutes before this site.

Go live — 7 days for $29.99

Go live — 7 days for £24.99

Go live — 7 days for €29.99

09:07

Japan's PM Takaichi says the government will ensure market trust by lowering debt-to-GDP

09:03

Pony AI (PONY) expects 1,000 BZ4X robotaxis to be produced in 2026

09:00

ECB's de Guindos says the outbreak for the Iran war has made the growth and inflation outlook significantly more uncertain, sharp increase in energy prices poses upside risks for inflation and downside risks for economic growth

08:56

Korean Air to purchase 103 Boeing (BA) jets for USD 36.2bln

08:45

[ANALYSIS] Day 27: Ceasefire narrative builds, Iranian public stance remains hardline

On the Newsquawk feed at 09:00, 20 minutes before this page.

Use the PlatformFree. No signup, no card.

ECB is well positioned to navigate this uncertain period.

Context

The comments from ECB's de Guindos highlight that geopolitical tensions, particularly relating to the Iran conflict, are amplifying uncertainty in both growth and inflation forecasts. The mention of rising energy prices introduces inflationary pressures while simultaneously threatening economic growth, underscoring the delicate balance central banks face. This signals to markets that the ECB remains alert and prepared to respond, which could influence rate expectations and cross-asset dynamics.

External

Newsquawk Daily

Get both market opens in your inbox.

FX · last 90 days

Recent headlines that moved markets

FX/14 Oct · 12:30 UTC

US Core CPI (Sep MM) 0.3% vs. Exp. 0.2% (Prev. 0.3%).

- USD/JPY, after we published+0.3%

FX/8 Oct · 08:30 UTC

Fed’s Waller (voter) says more rate hikes are likely needed to tame inflation, but there is flexibility over the pace and hikes do not need to be consecutive.

DXY, after we published+0.1%

FX/5 Oct · 11:16 UTC

Japan's GPIF didn't discuss allocation at its September meeting, Bloomberg reports.

Market, after we published+0.1%

FX/29 Sept · 18:00 UTC

Fed's Williams (voter) says sees no need for urgency after Sept rate hike.

- DXY, after we published−0.2%

FX/29 Sept · 05:32 UTC

[PRESS CONFERENCE] RBA Governor Bullock says inflationary pressures to last longer than expected; inflation is driven by domestic capacity pressures; Board will raise rates again if needed.

AUD/USD, after we published−0.6%

FX/28 Sept · 07:56 UTC

Japanese FX Official Mimura says they are closely watching to see if markets take the clear message they are giving at face value. Not satisfied with or reassured by recent JPY action.

Following the commentary USD/JPY, after we published−0.5%

Newsquawk Daily

Get both market opens in your inbox.

This note and the other one — the EU open and the US open, every business day, written by the desk. No account needed.

Make Newsquawk a preferred source on GoogleSelect this to see Newsquawk more often in Top Stories when you search Google.

Free.

No signup, no card.

Use the Platform

Related headlines

The feed had this first.

Use the Platform