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Fed Chair Powell (Q&A), asked about the easing bias, says had vigorous debate on guidance today; a number see hike as likely as cut has moved up

Fed Chair Powell's remarks indicate a noteworthy shift in the FOMC's outlook, with more officials now supporting a potential move away from an easing bias.

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  • Number of officials who would support a change to a neutral bias has increased
  • Says it is easy to see why
  • Majority of the Committee did not want to change the language; did not think we need to do at this meeting
  • Will see what happens in the next 30-60 days, it could change things
  • Says it was a closer call today than in March
Context

This signals growing concerns about inflation or economic strength that could lead to rate hikes, potentially influencing market expectations for upcoming policy decisions and impacting the USD and fixed income assets. The careful monitoring over the next 30-60 days suggests volatility as the committee reassesses economic conditions.

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