Italian HCOB Services PMI (Dec) 51.5 vs. Exp. 54.2 (Prev. 55.0)

The Italian HCOB Services PMI underperformed significantly, coming in at 51.5 versus expectations of 54.2 and down from 55.0.

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French HCOB Composite PMI (Dec) 50.0 vs. Exp. 50.1 (Prev. 50.1)

French HCOB Services PMI (Dec) 50.1 vs. Exp. 50.2 (Prev. 50.2)

Italian HCOB Services PMI (Dec) 51.5 vs. Exp. 54.2 (Prev. 55.0)

[MARKET UPDATE] Pressure seen across US equity futures, with the NQ pulling back to around the unchanged mark vs initial gains of 0.3%; a move which lacks a clear driver, but does follow pressure in the Nikkei 225 futures on Chinese export bans to Japan

Spanish Services PMI (Dec) 57.1 vs. Exp. 54.5 (Prev. 55.6)

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  • “The slowdown in activity came despite a notable improvement in demand conditions. New business inflows rose sharply and at the fastest rate in 20 months, driven largely by domestic clients and successful marketing efforts. Export orders slipped fractionally, indicating a sustained but only mild setback in international sales. Employment growth remained slight, as firms balanced capacity with workloads, and backlogs continued to decline."
  • “Price dynamics offered some relief. Input cost inflation eased from November and fell below trend, even though wage pressures and higher operating expenses persisted. Service providers were able to pass on some of these costs, but charge inflation softened, pointing to margin pressures."
  • "The service sector remains the key driver of expansion, underpinned by strong domestic demand, while manufacturing continues to weigh on the composite index."
Context

This suggests a slowdown in activity despite improved demand conditions, indicating potential headwinds for growth and inflation dynamics in the region. With easing input cost inflation but persisting wage pressures, the outlook for service sector margins might remain challenged, which could impact ECB policy considerations and the EUR going forward.

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