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[MARKET ANALYSIS] T-note futures remain afloat amid likely rebalancing heading into quarter-end

T-note futures are holding steady, reflecting a probable rebalancing as we approach quarter-end, which may lead to lower yields following recent market movements.

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USTs: +3 ticks

  • Remained afloat after gaining despite yesterday's advances in oil, with yields declining in a continuation of last Friday's reversal and amid likely rebalancing heading into quarter-end.

Bunds: +9 ticks

  • Extends on its recent rebound but with upside capped ahead of several German data releases and looming supply.

JGBs: +8 ticks

  • Tracked the advances in global peers as participants digested a slew of data releases, including a softer-than-expected Tokyo CPI report, while the attention turns to today's 2yr auction.
Context

This scenario signals that risk appetite might be softening, especially after recent gains in oil, suggesting investors are positioning defensively, potentially impacting broader market sentiment leading into the quarter-close.

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