[MARKET ANALYSIS] Treasury futures rebounded after the selling pressure late last week
USTs: +7 ticks
- Gradually edged higher despite the upside in oil prices, and with participants digesting the recent geopolitical escalation and mixed messages from US President Trump.
Bunds: +15 ticks
- Found some reprieve after recent selling, but with the rebound contained amid higher oil prices.
JGBs: +32 ticks
- Bounced back from contract lows and returned to the 130.00 level, while prices are unfazed by the hawkish tones in the Summary of Opinions, which noted the BoJ debated the need for more rate hikes at the March meeting and that some members signalled the need to accelerate rate hikes.
Context
Treasury futures have rebounded slightly in response to recent selling pressure, which suggests a bit of stabilization in fixed income despite rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions. The mixed signals from US leadership seem to be weighing on market clarity, while Japanese government bonds are reacting positively, unfazed by hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan, indicating a broader demand for safe-haven assets. This could imply an ongoing preference for fixed income as a refuge amid uncertainty, especially if inflation pressures persist.
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