[MARKET UPDATE] Markets see a modest hawkish reaction (stocks, bonds, precious metals down) as another G10 central bank tilts more hawkish amid the energy shock from the Iranian war

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[MARKET UPDATE] Crude futures see downticks as US Treasury Secretary Bessent suggests US could do another SPR release to keep price down and that US may unsanction Iranian oil on water

US Treasury Secretary Bessent says US is not attacking Iran's energy infrastructure; we have allowed Iran oil to continue out of the Gulf, via Fox Business Interview; US may unsanction Iranian oil on the water in the coming days

[MARKET UPDATE] Markets see a modest hawkish reaction (stocks, bonds, precious metals down) as another G10 central bank tilts more hawkish amid the energy shock from the Iranian war

UK BoE MPC Vote Cut 0 (exp. 2; prev. 4)

UK BoE MPC Vote Hike 0 (Exp. 0, prev. 0)

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Context

The modest hawkish reaction in the markets indicates that traders are adjusting their expectations for monetary policy in light of heightened tensions due to the Iranian war and its impact on energy supplies. This shift may lead to tighter monetary policy from G10 central banks, which is weighing on equities and pushing bond yields higher, suggesting a potential repricing of risk across asset classes, especially in energy-sensitive sectors.

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