[Market Update] Risk-off trade continues as AI concerns linger; stocks trade at new lows with NQ -3.0% as tech leads losses, while gold sees new lows; Treasuries push to new highs, weighing on USD; oil trades off highs supported by geopolitical risk
Newsquawk Staff ·
Risk-off trade continues as AI concerns linger; stocks trade at new lows with NQ -3.0% as tech leads losses, while gold sees new lows; Treasuries push to new highs, weighing on USD; oil trades off highs supported by geopolitical risk.
What it means
Sessions of this shape, equity lows led by the Nasdaq with Treasuries at highs and the dollar soft, follow the familiar risk-off sequence: growth-sensitive tech sells first, duration catches the bid, and the transmission runs through real yields at the belly of the curve rather than the front end when the driver is sentiment rather than policy. The feature that departs from the standard template is gold making new lows alongside Treasuries; in classic risk-off episodes bullion holds or gains, and simultaneous weakness in both havens has historically pointed to forced deleveraging or a rates-driven repricing rather than a pure flight to quality. Oil off highs but underpinned by geopolitical risk fits the pattern where the crude risk premium decays slowly and is set by supply-side headlines rather than the equity tape. AI-linked concern as the stated catalyst places this in the recurring family of concentrated-leadership unwinds, where the question that has mattered is whether the selling stays confined to the crowded tech cohort or broadens into credit and cyclicals. The tells worth noting are the equity breadth, the behaviour of the curve on the Treasury bid, and whether gold's divergence from Treasuries resolves toward the haven norm. As a market update rather than a discrete event, this is a snapshot of positioning, not new information.
- Ukraine President Zelensky says Ukraine is ready for peace talks at G20, but so far no such invitation
- An Israeli military official told Channel 12 that here is no reason to launch an attack on Iran before the elections; If we detect preparations in Iran for an attack, we will act
- Israeli PM Netanyahu says "I will inform [US President] Trump of what we intend to do, but I will not ask him for the green light to strike Iran", Al Arabiya reports
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] DXY slips alongside yields; JPY and CHF benefit from haven demand, whilst the Kiwi digests CPI
- Israeli PM Netanyahu says 90% of the mission has been accomplished in Iran, Channel 7 reports; adds, striking Iranian nuclear facilities is not enough as long as the regime remains in power
Related headlines
- US EQUITY OPEN: Mag-7 earnings lead Tech and Indices lower as the Middle East situation remains fragile4 hours ago
- US President Trump called Musk and asked him to lift Ukraine Starlink (SPCX) restrictions, WSJ reports27 min ago
- US President Trump says "Iran is doing everything they can to drive up the price of Oil prior to the U.S. Midterm Election". 2 hours ago
- Infineum is exploring a USD 8bln sale, the FT reports4 hours ago
- Valero Energy (VLO) Q3 2026 (USD) adj. EPS 23.90 (exp. 20.90), Revenue 46.1bln (exp. 43.36bln)7 hours ago
- American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Q3 2026 (USD): adj EPS -0.28 (exp. -0.33), Revenue 16.3bln (exp. 16.20bln); new revenue record. CEO "...expect another quarter of record revenue growth to close out the year."7 hours ago
- Washington will determine the timing of the next attacks on Iran, reports Al Hadath citing sources telling Israel Hayom5 hours ago
- US Department of War announces that Dow (DOW) and Lockheed Martin (LMT) have finalised a 10yr deal relating to th F-35; now seeking USD 7bln in private investment8 hours ago
- Dow Inc. (DOW) Q3 2026 (USD): Adj. EPS 0.71 (exp. 0.61), Revenue 11.3bln (exp. 11.21bln)8 hours ago
- Money markets no longer full price a Fed rate hike before end of 20261 hour ago
- Elon Musk makes USD 1bln investment in Skydance (SKYD), Semafor reports2 hours ago
- Pulte Group (HM) guides Q4 closings 7.0-7.5k (exp. 8.2k), Gross Margin 24.0-24.5% (exp. 24.8%), and ASP USD 550-560k (exp. 565k)6 hours ago
- Visa (V) is reportedly in late-stage talks to acquire Fireblocks for USD 2.5bln, according to Axios6 hours ago
- Union Pacific (UNP) Q3 2026 (USD): Adj. EPS 3.53 (exp 3.47), Revenue 7.20bln (exp. 7.16bln)6 hours ago
- Procter & Gamble (PG) Q1 2027 (USD): Adj. EPS 2.00 (exp. 1.88), Revenue 23.3bln (exp. 22.8bln)7 hours ago