Philippines President Marcos says our policy is to continue to defend the Philippine Peso as hard as we possibly can, adds we have all the means to defend the currency
Newsquawk Staff ·
Says
- Will continue to do all that we can to make sure that the value of the peso does not continue to go down relative to the dollar.
What it means
Direct defence rhetoric from a head of state, as opposed to the central bank governor, is a marker that currency pressure has become a political as much as a monetary issue; historically this kind of escalation in messaging comes when the unit is testing or near record or multi-year lows against the dollar and verbal intervention from the monetary authority alone has stopped gaining traction. In comparable Asian episodes the usual sequence runs from central bank jawboning, to spot intervention, to tighter onshore liquidity or regulatory measures on FX flows, with political rhetoric typically arriving somewhere in the middle of that ladder. The institutional setup matters here: the peso's defence operationally sits with the central bank, so the president's comments are a commitment signal rather than a mechanism, and the credibility of the follow-through rests on reserve adequacy and the bank's willingness to run down buffers or tighten. Claims of having "all the means" have precedent on both sides: where reserves and current account dynamics were supportive, such defence has slowed depreciation and squeezed short positioning; where they were not, verbal defence has tended to mark the level the market eventually traded through. The tells worth watching are intervention footprints in the spot and forwards market, any shift in onshore dollar liquidity or FX rules, and whether the central bank echoes the president's language at its next communications.
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