Headlines

PRE-MARKET AUSTRALIAN STOCKS NEWS: Whitehaven Coal (WHC AT) Q1 managed run-of-mine production rose 3% Q/Q to 11.0mln tons, equity sales of produced coal fell 5% Q/Q to 6.0mln tons

Newsquawk Staff ·

Alkane Resources (ALK AT) - Co. Q1 (AUD) rev. 206mln, mine operating cash flow 102mln, average gold sales price AUD 5,128/oz, expects FY gold output of 163k-177k oz and all-in sustaining costs of AUD 2,900-3,200/oz. (Dow Jones Newsplus)

Austal (ASB AT) - Co.'s suitor Wildcat Infrastructure has acquired a US shipyard for USD 350mln as it pursues the Co.'s US operations, while rival bidder Hanwha has made offers exceeding USD 1.46bln. (The Australian)

Beach Energy (BPT AT) - Co. is to acquire a 50% interest in Elixir Energy's core Taroom Trough assets. (Dow Jones Newsplus)

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AT) - Co. is reportedly considering reacquiring Colonial First State, six years after selling its stake for AUD 1.7bln, as a potential AUD 5bln valuation deters rival buyers. (The Australian)

Mineral Resources (MIN AT) - Co. Q1 mining services production volume rose 10% Q/Q to 103mln tons, Onslow Iron shipments 9.2mln tons, attributable shipments 5.0mln tons, FOB costs AUD 53/ton, Pilbara Hub production 3.2mln tons, shipments 2.9mln tons and attributable lithium sales rose 8% Q/Q to 170k tons. (Dow Jones Newsplus)

Perpetual (PPT AT) - Co. is reportedly attracting new potential buyers, with a rival takeover offer potentially imminent ahead of its upcoming AGM. (The Australian)

REA Group (REA AT) - Co. expects FY low double-digit controllable residential buy yield growth, operational margin expansion, mid-single-digit growth in group and Australian costs, high-single-digit group cost growth including M&A and an improvement in associate losses Y/Y. (Dow Jones Newsplus)

Reliance Worldwide (RWC AT) - Co. reaffirmed FY27 trading outlook, expects mid-to-high single-digit group sales growth and broadly flat adjusted EBITDA margin. (Dow Jones Newsplus)

Rio Tinto (RIO AT) - Co. will invest USD 1.9bln to develop the Kangwinan bauxite project in Western Cape York, Queensland, adding 20mln tons/year of production capacity at Weipa, with first output targeted for 2029. (Dow Jones Newsplus)

Temple & Webster (TPW AT) - Co. said trading has improved since August, with FY27 revenue down 8% Y/Y to date and contribution dollars rising 16%, while revenue declined 4% Y/Y since the August update, with a return to growth expected from late February. (Dow Jones Newsplus)

Whitehaven Coal (WHC AT) - Co. Q1 managed run-of-mine production rose 3% Q/Q to 11.0mln tons, equity sales of produced coal fell 5% Q/Q to 6.0mln tons, average achieved price rose 2% Q/Q to AUD 226/ton and unit costs were at the low end of FY27 guidance of AUD 132-147/ton. (Dow Jones Newsplus)

Zip Co. (ZIP AT) - Co. Q1 (AUD) total transaction volume rose 18% Y/Y to 4.6bln, US TTV rose 34% Y/Y to USD 2.57bln, US rev. rose 32% Y/Y to USD 183.7mln, Australian TTV rose 3.6% Y/Y to AUD 952.4mln and Australian rev. rose 8.3% Y/Y to AUD 111.5mln. (Dow Jones Newsplus)

Broker Ratings/Price Targets

  • Atlas Arteria (ALX AT) Price target cut 29% to AUD 3.37/shr by Morgans.
  • Brambles (BXB AT) Price target raised 13% to AUD 21.50/shr by Macquarie.
  • Fortescue (FMG AT) Price target cut 5% to AUD 18.00/shr by Macquarie.
  • Genesis Minerals (GMD AT) Price target cut 1.4% to AUD 10.55/shr by UBS.
  • Karoon Energy (KAR AT) Downgraded to Neutral from Outperform by Macquarie.
  • Maas Group (MGH AT) Price target cut 24% to AUD 5.90/shr by Morgans.
  • NextDC (NXT AT) Price target cut 21% to AUD 18.50/shr by UBS.
  • Nickel Industries (NIC AT) Price target cut 17% to AUD 1.00/shr by Macquarie.
  • Pantoro Gold (PNR AT) Price target raised 2.2% to AUD 4.60/shr by UBS.
  • Santos (STO AT) Price target cut 0.5% to AUD 9.50/shr by Macquarie.
  • Viva Energy (VEA AT) Price target cut 6.3% to AUD 3.00/shr by UBS; price target cut 6% to AUD 3.75/shr by Macquarie.

What it means

Quarterly production reports from Australian coal names tend to trade on three lines in isolation of each other: output, sales, and unit costs, and this one splits across all three. A managed run-of-mine increase alongside a decline in equity sales implies either shipment timing or stock build, and in past episodes of this kind the market has treated the gap as a wash if the next quarter closes it and as a demand signal if it persists. Achieved pricing up modestly Q/Q while costs sit at the low end of guidance is the combination that has historically mattered more for the shares than the tonnage, since margin per ton, not volume, has driven these stocks through most cycles. The distinction worth drawing is between thermal and met exposure when reading the realized price against the relevant seaborne benchmarks, as the spread to index has been the recurring source of surprise for the complex. Follow-ons of note are whether peers report the same sales-versus-production divergence, any update to full-year shipment guidance, and commentary on the Queensland weather and rail picture, which has been the usual culprit when sales lag output. Updates of this kind rarely re-rate the stock on their own; they set up the half-year result and any capital returns discussion that comes with it.

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