Some sources report firing at violating vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, Some public reports indicate that gunfire was heard in Bandar Abbas and Sirik, reports Tasnim

• On the same basis, some sources say that tonight, too, firing was carried out at violating vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.
• No vessel has the right to pass through the Strait of Hormuz without permission from the Iranian Armed Forces.

Reports of live fire against vessels in the Strait of Hormuz sit within a well-worn pattern of episodic harassment by Iranian forces: warning shots, hailing, boardings and occasional seizures, historically concentrated around periods of heightened sanctions or nuclear-file tension. The critical distinction in past episodes has been between harassment, which has tended to lift war-risk insurance premia and tanker earnings while leaving transit volumes intact, and any move toward mining, strikes on hulls, or declared closure, which is the step that has historically forced a wholesale repricing of crude through the supply channel rather than the freight channel. Roughly a fifth of seaborne oil flows transit the strait, so even unconfirmed reports have typically produced a fast, shallow risk-premium bid in crude and a firming in VLCC rates, unwinding if traffic data show uninterrupted passage. Attribution and sourcing matter here: the reporting traces to a single state-affiliated agency, and comparable incidents have previously been walked back, exaggerated, or contradicted by maritime authorities and shipping trackers. The tells that have separated noise from escalation in prior episodes are tanker AIS and transit counts through the strait, statements from regional naval coordination bodies, and any move in war-risk rates quoted by underwriters. Until independent confirmation of hits or casualties, the historical base rate is that such reports fade as headline risk rather than becoming a supply event.