Spain sells EUR 0.52bln vs Exp. EUR 0.25-0.75bln 1.15% 2036 I/L Bono: b/c 2.28x (prev. 2.04x), real yield 1.96% (prev. 1.425%)

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Spain sells EUR 0.52bln vs Exp. EUR 0.25-0.75bln 1.15% 2036 I/L Bono: b/c 2.28x (prev. 1.87x), real yield 1.96% (prev. 1.32%)

[MARKET ANALYSIS] European bourses come under pressure amid higher energy prices and higher yields

Spain sells EUR 0.52bln vs Exp. EUR 0.25-0.75bln 1.15% 2036 I/L Bono: b/c 2.28x (prev. 2.04x), real yield 1.96% (prev. 1.425%)

BofA (w/e 26th Sept) Total Card Spending +5.6% Y/Y (prev. +6.9%); notes that after a brief reversal last week, lower-income spending growth again outpaced higher income

UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final (Sep) 51.9 vs Exp. 52 (prev. 51.7)

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Context

The size sits comfortably within the indicated range, so the auction itself is routine; the information content is in the pricing. A real yield more than half a point above the previous comparable sale is a large step for an inflation-linked line, and a rise in the cover ratio alongside it is the familiar pattern of higher concession drawing demand back in rather than a sign of stress. In linker auctions, the read-through runs through breakevens rather than nominals: a higher clearing real yield with unchanged inflation expectations tightens real financing conditions, while the same move driven by falling breakevens leaves real rates unchanged, so the inflation swap strip around the auction is the distinguishing tell. Spanish linker supply is infrequent enough that each print tends to reset the reference for the curve's longer real maturities, and the 2036 point sits in the segment where duration demand from liability-driven accounts typically absorbs the paper. Worth noting is whether the takedown was concentrated in that real-money bid or left with dealers, since the post-auction behaviour of the issue, and of the surrounding nominals' breakevens, has historically separated the two. As a mid-curve linker sale, the direct spillover to the broader Bono curve is usually limited.

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