US sells 8-week bills at a high rate of 3.990%, B/C 2.76x; sells 4-week bills at a high rate of 3.850%, B/C 2.61x
Weekly bill auctions are the most routine supply in the rates complex, and their information content lies almost entirely in the tail metrics rather than the rate itself, which is anchored to the prevailing front-end policy path.
US sells 8-week bills at a high rate of 3.990%, B/C 2.76x; sells 4-week bills at a high rate of 3.850%, B/C 2.61x
Petrobras (PBR) CEO says selling oil to Japan for the first time this year
US to sell USD 82bln of 26-week bills and USD 95bln of 13-week bills on September 28th; to sell USD 85bln of 6-week bills and USD 54bln of 52-week bills on September 29th; all to settle on October 1st
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The conventional read runs through bid-to-cover against the recent auction average, the size of any tail versus the when-issued level, and indirect and dealer takedowns, with weak demand historically showing up first in concession at the belly of the bill curve rather than in the headline rate. A spread between the two tenors of this kind is normal term-structure behaviour inside the front end and carries little signal on its own; what has tended to matter is a persistent pattern of tails across successive weekly sales, which in past episodes has flagged saturation of dealer balance sheets or a shift in cash demand around tax dates and debt-ceiling episodes. Worth watching is whether subsequent auctions at the same tenors show deteriorating coverage or rising dealer awards, and how supply interacts with any announced changes in bill issuance from the Treasury's refunding statements. As a single print, this is plumbing rather than signal.
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