US Treasury Secretary Bessent says Fed Chair Warsh should have an open mind on the transitory nature of any supply shocks, speaking to CNBC
Newsquawk Staff ·
- Trump has great confidence in Warsh handling of mandate.
- Fed is very attentive to being above inflation target for a long time.
- Warsh off to a great start.
What it means
A sitting Treasury Secretary publicly advising a Fed Chair on how to frame supply shocks revives a long-running tension between fiscal and monetary authority that has surfaced repeatedly around supply-driven inflation episodes, where the transitory call has proven politically and analytically treacherous in past cycles. The operative question is whether urging an open mind on transience signals pressure toward tolerance of above-target prints or simply a caution against over-tightening into a shock; historically it is the direction of such pressure, not the wording, that matters for the reaction function priced at the front end. The Secretary's parallel observation that the Fed is attentive to a prolonged overshoot of target cuts the other way, so the combined message is closer to endorsement of the Chair than instruction. Endorsements of this kind from the political side have tended to matter less for pricing than the Chair's own first testimony and the composition of the committee's median voter. The near-term tells are how the Chair frames supply shocks in upcoming remarks and whether front-end pricing shifts on the transitory language rather than on data. As commentary rather than policy, the signal is directional.
- Fed Chair Warsh (Q&A): Economy is strong and economy is pointing in the right direction
- Fed Chair Warsh (Q&A): Asked about balance sheet, says at this point, the balance sheet is solely within the four walls of the balance sheet task force
- Fed Chair Warsh (Q&A): Pay a lot of attention to Korean economy, and tells him what is coming "this way"
- Fed Chair Warsh (Q&A): Doesn't believe in forward guidance, absence a crisis; not going to pre-judge meetings
- Fed Chair Warsh (Q&A): Was skeptical that interest rates would not have an effect on AI, but have seen interest rates have had an effect; believes interest rates matter, in regards to the new technology
Related headlines
- Fed Chair Warsh (Q&A): Stable correlation between oil prices rising and market-set interest rates, until recently; interest rates have rolled over to the downside and take note that oil futures prices have moved up1 hour ago
- Fed Chair Warsh (Q&A): There is no soft inflation, no implicit inflation target; there's a target of price stability, and it's 2% as measured by PCE1 hour ago
- Fed Chair Warsh (Q&A): Just come out of a family fight, a serious, sober discussion1 hour ago
- Fed Chair Warsh (Q&A): Need to ensure stable prices and no ifs and buts, will deliver price stability1 hour ago
- Fed Chair Warsh (Q&A): Doesn't submit a dot and doesn't plan on submitting one1 hour ago
- Fed Chair Warsh (Q&A): Overwhelming judgement at the FOMC is that monetary medicine is starting to work1 hour ago
- Fed Chair Warsh (Q&A): Reiterates that in September removed a dose of accommodation and inflation compensation as measured by swaps is going the right way; period in front of them is information rich1 hour ago
- Fed Chair Warsh (Q&A): Ensuring price stability is not about a fixed date on a calendar; 1 hour ago
- Fed Chair Warsh says decided to change FOMC schedule next fall and 8 meetings is right number a year; one meeting will not have a vote on policy rate and will be focused on strategy1 hour ago
- Fed Chair Warsh says made clear readiness to act and have shown willingness to act1 hour ago
- Fed Chair Warsh says not surprised by financial market volatility and discussed geopolitics and technology; inflation expectations remain anchored as they are1 hour ago
- Fed Chair Warsh says unwilling and unable to call financial conditions tight1 hour ago
- Fed Chair Warsh says the committee believes that the accumulation of more information will help it determine the policy stance appropriate to ensure a timely return of inflation to the 2% goal and the committee will deliver price stability1 hour ago
- FOMC SNAP ANALYSIS: Fed holds rates, as expected, with two hawkish dissenters as attention turns to the presser2 hours ago
- Fed holds rates at 3.75-4.00%, as expected; 2 dissenters (Cook and Hammack)2 hours ago