WSJ's Timiraos says "Early estimates of the May PCE number (following the Thurs release of May PPI and the CPI on Wed) point to a firm core m/m reading that rounds up to 0.4%. Market-based core was milder"

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ECB President Lagarde (Q&A) says we are not in an environment is which growth is absent or under threat

ECB President Lagarde (Q&A) says policymakers did not discuss the neutral rate, nor the range of neutral

WSJ's Timiraos says "Early estimates of the May PCE number (following the Thurs release of May PPI and the CPI on Wed) point to a firm core m/m reading that rounds up to 0.4%. Market-based core was milder"

Analyst Core PCE Forecasts: Pantheon Macroeconomics estimate the core PCE deflator increased by 0.38% in May, lifting the inflation rate to 3.4%, from 3.3% in April

ECB President Lagarde (Q&A) says that they are confident that they are not currently seeing second-round effects, when asked if elevated services inflation was evidence of 2nd round effects

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  • "Portfolio management and airfares (which come from the PPI) have widened the CPI-PCE wedge in May. I will post the cheat-sheet table later."

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