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Australian PPI (Q3 YY) 3.6% (Prev. 3.6%)

Newsquawk Staff ·

Australian PPI (Q3 YY) 3.6% (Prev. 3.6%)

What it means

An unchanged producer price read at this level tells the pipeline story is one of stasis rather than re-acceleration or disinflation, and PPI prints of this kind have historically mattered for the RBA only insofar as they corroborate or complicate the CPI path, since the Bank's framework keys on consumer inflation and particularly the trimmed mean. The sequence that has typically played out is that a flat PPI is read through to limited cost-push pressure downstream, leaving the CPI release and the quarterly trimmed mean as the events that actually move the front end of the Australian curve and the AUD. The relevant distinction is between goods-side pipeline pressure, which PPI captures, and the services and labour-driven inflation that has more often been the sticking point in Australian easing cycles. Follow-ons are the monthly CPI indicator and the full quarterly print, with any gap between producer and consumer readings worth noting as a margin-absorption signal. As a second-tier release, this print on its own rarely re-prices RBA expectations.

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