ECB Wage Tracker - Annual, 2026: 2.3% (prev. 2.2%). Quarterly, Q3-2027: 2.4% (1st estimate)

Newsquawk Staff · 4 Nov 2026, 09:23 UTC

Quarterly

Q1 2026: 1.8% (prev. 1.8%)
Q2 2026: 1.9% (prev. 1.9%)
Q1 2027: 2.8% (prev. 2.7%)
Q2 2027: 2.8% (prev. 2.8%)
Q3 2027: 2.4% (1st estimate)

Annual

-2026: 2.3% (prev. 2.2%)

What our morning note said

EU Market Open, 4 Nov, 06:50 UTC · what it led with

Democrats are seeing a very strong midterm result, flipping key Senate races in Ohio, Texas, South Carolina and Kansas, with DDHQ giving them a 99% chance of winning the House and a 100% chance of winning the Senate.

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Case studies

Headlines that moved markets

FX headlines from our feed, and what the market did next.

Iranian President Pezeshkian says the Supreme Leader has granted the government some authority on dialogue, ISNA reports.
EUR/USD+0.1%
ECB policymakers see a December rate hike followed by a pause; New ECB staff estimates show the rise in bond yields cutting growth by a cumulative 100bps and inflation by 90bps in 2027-28 vs the September baseline, according to reports, citing sources.
EUR/USD−0.1%
ECB President Lagarde (Q&A) says policymakers believe they are in a good position to wait for incoming information. The situation they are in could have warranted a hike.
EUR/USD+0.1%

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