ECB Wage Tracker: 2026 Annual 2.388% (prev. 2.316%)

The ECB's updated wage tracker indicates a rise in annual wage growth expectations for 2026, showing an increase from 2.316% to 2.388%.

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ECB Wage Tracker: 2026 Annual 2.388% (prev. 2.316%)

Italian Industrial Production YoY (Dec) Y/Y 3.2% (Prev. 1.4%)

Italian Industrial Production MoM (Dec) M/M -0.4% vs. Exp. -0.5% (Prev. 1.5%)

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2026

  • Q1: 2.058% (prev. 2.022%)
  • Q2: 2.169% (prev. 2.091%)
  • Q3: 2.617% (prev. 2.464%)
  • Q4 2.709% (prev. 2.688%)
Context

This upward revision, particularly in quarterly figures, suggests growing inflationary pressures that could influence future monetary policy decisions and potentially prompt discussions around rate adjustments. As wages are a significant driver of inflation, this may have implications for market expectations regarding ECB tightening.

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