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Ukrainian President Zelensky says negotiations between Ukraine, Russia and the US could take place as early as November 10th

Newsquawk Staff ·

Ukrainian President Zelensky says negotiations between Ukraine, Russia and the US could take place as early as November 10th.

What it means

Proposed trilateral negotiation formats of this kind have surfaced repeatedly through this conflict, and the established pattern is that the gap between a proposed date and confirmed attendance has been wide; past episodes of this kind have tended to see scheduling leaks precede actual talks by weeks, or fail to materialise at all, so the headline marks a signal of intent rather than a confirmed event. The participation set matters more than the timing: formats pairing the belligerents directly with a US chair have historically carried more weight than indirect or mediated channels, and prior rounds have typically begun with technical or prisoner-swap level agendas before touching territorial questions. Zelensky's prior form has been to float negotiation windows publicly as a way of shaping allied posture and testing Russian response, so the counterpart response from Moscow is the immediate tell. The transmission channels that have mattered in comparable episodes are European natural gas and power forwards, the EU-Russia discount embedded in European equities and the euro, and the sanctions-risk premia in metals and grain freight and insurance. The follow-ons worth noting are confirmation or denial from the Russian side, any US readout, and whether the date survives contact with the calendar, since slipped or denied dates have been the more common outcome than talks held on schedule.

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