ECB's Simkus says there's a 50/50 chance that their next move is a hike or cut; rates are at neutral level with growth near potential

• Economic environment is fragile.

The ECB's Simkus indicates a balanced outlook for monetary policy, highlighting a 50/50 chance for either a rate hike or cut. This suggests the central bank is navigating a delicate economic landscape, where growth is stable but fragile, and it reflects uncertainty in how to balance inflation and growth dynamics moving forward.