Fitch Ratings raised its estimate of US GDP growth in 2025 and 2026
Importance
Level 1
- "Broadly stable growth in the U.S. in 2026, underpinned by Federal Reserve rate cuts, additional tax cuts embedded in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act and the AI capex increases, underscores the ‘neutral’ sector outlook."
- GDP is now estimated to have expanded by 2.1% in 2025 (vs 1.8% in Fitch's December 2025 Global Economic Outlook (GEO)).
- 2026 growth seen at 2.0% (prev. 1.9% in the last GEO)
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