Newsquawk Daily Economic Releases - 4th November 2026

Newsquawk Staff · 3 Nov 2026, 15:20 UTC

Data: Global Services/Composite PMI Final (Oct), EU HICP (Oct), US ADP Employment Change (Oct), Trade Balance (Sep), ISM Services PMI (Oct), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q4)
Events: Riskbank Policy Announcement, US Treasury Quarterly Refunding Announcement, NBP Policy Announcement, BCB Policy Announcement, BoJ Minutes, South African Municipal Elections
Speakers: Riksbank's Bunge; ECB's Lane
Supply: Australia, Germany
Earnings: Qualcomm, Novo Nordisk

What our morning note said

US Market Open, 3 Nov, 11:11 UTC · what it led with

The US attacked Iran’s Qeshm Island on Monday, with an official describing it as small-scale and defensive.
Journalist Mallick reported that an agreement for Iran and the US to return to negotiations is reportedly in the works, although a deal is not as close as some suggest.

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Headlines that moved markets

FX headlines from our feed, and what the market did next.

Iranian President Pezeshkian says the Supreme Leader has granted the government some authority on dialogue, ISNA reports.
EUR/USD+0.1%
ECB policymakers see a December rate hike followed by a pause; New ECB staff estimates show the rise in bond yields cutting growth by a cumulative 100bps and inflation by 90bps in 2027-28 vs the September baseline, according to reports, citing sources.
EUR/USD−0.1%
ECB President Lagarde (Q&A) says policymakers believe they are in a good position to wait for incoming information. The situation they are in could have warranted a hike.
EUR/USD+0.1%

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