"Iran, in order to reach a decision to end the war, basically does not receive the right signals from the US", IRNA reports
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"Iran, in order to reach a decision to end the war, basically does not receive the right signals from the US", IRNA reports
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Full post [Translated]
" Iran's strategy to end the war/why Tehran does not trust the "negotiation-war-ceasefire" cycle?
🔹How to end the imposed war against Iran, although it has become an unspoken crisis by the American ruling body, but Iran does not want this end in the way that the White House determines, emphasizing its legitimate demands.
🔹"We are negotiating with Iran" this sentence is being repeated once again in the press conferences, tweets and statements of the President of the United States of America, Donald Trump, without any objective reality in the field. For many, the question arises as to which negotiation Trump is talking about, when Iranian officials, from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the government to the parliament and the legislature, have clearly rejected the formal formation of negotiations and only confirm the exchange of messages by mediators, which is considered a common thing in war.
🔹For Iran and maybe even the world, diplomacy and negotiation, declarations and actions by the president and the US government, as evidenced by all of the last solar year, have been nothing but lies and deception, and every time a negotiation is started to reach a solution, Trump has started a new round of attacks on Iran, encouraged and provoked by the Prime Minister of the Israeli regime, Benjamin Netanyahu.
🔹The sum of the statements and actions of the Iranian authorities since the height of Trump's negotiation claims indicates that Tehran has given enough time to this negotiation-war-truce-negotiation cycle in the past year, and this time, more than ever, it will be determined to break this cycle of futile succession. Repeating the mentioned cycle has undeniable consequences not only for Iran but for all countries in the region and the world
🔹Iran, however, in order to reach a decision to end the war, basically does not receive the right signals from the United States and is quite sure that sending ground forces to the region to attack its territorial integrity, in the middle of negotiation claims; It is the same trap that Trump clumsily prepared for Tehran, but the fact is that for the decision-makers of the Islamic Republic of Iran, in the current situation, there is no other issue than monitoring the movements of America and its partners in the region.
🔹Trump is currently claiming to destroy Iran's nuclear program in order to obtain nuclear weapons, a claim that does not seem very true in the real world because Tehran was not and is not seeking to build nuclear weapons, and before both the wars imposed in the spring and winter of 1404, it had announced its readiness to clarify its nuclear program.
🔹A month after the imposed war, Iran showed that it has the ability to defend itself well and that this independent country is capable of providing security for its people in its strategic isolation. The Iranian society also showed that despite all the criticisms and the undeniable harsh conditions in the country, in this situation of war and conflict, they side with their defenders and not with the attackers.
🔹What can be evaluated from Iran's response to America's negotiation requests; It indicates that in this response, Tehran emphasizes on sustainable deterrence more than any other issue and does not consider a temporary stop or even a temporary agreement as the solution to its problem.
🔹At the regional level, the continuation of this situation can have consequences beyond bilateral confrontation. The countries of the region, which are directly or indirectly exposed to the consequences of these tensions, know very well that the continuous instability threatens their security and economy. From this point of view, Iran's approach to definitively end the war, if realized, can become a model for reducing regional tensions.
🔹Finally, what matters most in this equation is the change in the other party's calculations. As long as the costs of military action against Iran do not increase significantly, there will be a possibility of repeating similar scenarios. Therefore, Tehran's emphasis on "learning the enemy's lesson" should be analyzed and interpreted not as a slogan, but as a part of a grand strategy to stabilize national security and prevent erosion cycles in the future. "
Context
Iran's resistance to perceived insincerity from the U.S. signals continued instability in the region, potentially keeping tensions high and affecting oil prices. The lack of trust undermines negotiation prospects, which may lead to further conflict and underscore Iran's determination for a more assertive posture in its foreign policy. This dynamic could lead to elevated risk premiums in energy markets as geopolitical risks remain a concern.
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