JPMorgan tells clients to use geopolitical weakness to add, as fundamentals are constructive
Newsquawk Staff ·
- The bank expects near-term risk-off after geopolitical escalation, but sees weakness as a buying opportunity over 3-, 6-, and 12-months; says fundamentals are supportive, activity is resilient, consumer wealth effect is positive, and corporate capex is backed by robust earnings.
- JPM says Mag-7 and anti-AI groups have derated sharply, with relative P/E near 10-year lows and record lows respectively; while both may lag, absolute downside is seen as more limited.
- The bank reiterates its preference for leadership broadening towards Value, small caps, International and EM over DM; cautions on Software, Business Services and Media; it also flags mining rally as maturing.
What it means
JPMorgan is advising clients to view the current geopolitical weakness as a buying opportunity, emphasizing that despite short-term risks, the underlying fundamentals remain solid. They highlight resilience in activity and a positive consumer wealth effect, suggesting that investors may find value in the market, particularly in sectors like Value and small caps, while cautioning against certain areas like Software and Media. This perspective could lead to a strategic shift in asset allocation amidst impending volatility.
- JPMorgan Chase (JPM) reportedly faces an additional GBP 100-150mln tax bill following the UK government's decision to double the corporation tax surcharge on banks, potentially jeopardising plans for its new London headquarters, Sky News reports
- US EQUITY OPEN: Indices rangebound ahead of FOMC and major earnings
- US Midterms (6 days out): Florida flips to a Republican early-vote lead and Kansas narrows further; Crystal Ball shifts House and Senate races towards Democrats
- JPMorgan’s (JPM) 270 Park Avenue headquarters in Manhattan is estimated to cost approximately USD 6bln, WSJ reports
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] A busy morning for EU banking names, with tech stocks supported by upbeat SK Hynix earnings
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