NHK exit polls suggest that the ruling coalition are on course to win the election; exit polls show Takaichi extending her lead to 274-328 (majority needed 233)

The exit polls indicate that the ruling coalition in Japan is positioned to win a significant majority, potentially solidifying their power further with a two-thirds majority alongside their coalition partner.

Newsquawk StaffPublished 8 Feb 2026, 12:27 UTCOn the live feed at 12:07 UTC, 20 minutes before this page

Newsquawk headlinesUTC

15:00

Japanese Election coverage: Votes are being tallied up with the LDP currently winning 291 seats (single party majority); JIP has won 27 seats, meaning together the pair have achieved a super majority of 318 (310 needed for supermajority)

14:40

Japanese Election coverage: Exit polls across various outlets project a victory for PM Takaichi's ruling coalition LDP; generally see a single party majority, with the possibility of a two-thirds majority with its current partner JIP

12:07

NHK exit polls suggest that the ruling coalition are on course to win the election; exit polls show Takaichi extending her lead to 274-328 (majority needed 233)

09:45

Japanese Election coverage: Exit polls expected at 20:00 JST / 11:00 GMT / 06:00 EST

03:33

Chinese Foreign Exchange Reserves (Jan) 3.399T (Prev. 3.358T)

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Coupled with its coalition party JIP, NHK suggests the coalition could secure a two thirds majority.

Context

This outcome could imply continued stability in policy direction, which often translates to a favorable environment for risk assets and a potential impact on the yen, depending on market sentiment towards the government's future economic agenda.

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