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Sherwin-Williams (SHW) expects 2027 raw material inflation in the low- to mid-single-digit range, peaking in H1

Newsquawk Staff ·

Sherwin-Williams (SHW) expects 2027 raw material inflation in the low- to mid-single-digit range, peaking in H1.

What it means

Coatings producers have a long history of guiding raw material costs well ahead of the fiscal year, and these early reads tend to matter because the paint and coatings peer set is one of the cleaner transmission chains from commodity inputs to reported margins. The distinction that usually separates outcomes is the mix: titanium dioxide, resins, solvents and packaging behave differently, and a low-to-mid-single-digit aggregate can mask pressure concentrated in one input. A peak-in-H1 profile is the more benign shape, implying cost relief into the back half and giving pricing actions room to annualise against it, the sequence this sector has historically used to defend gross margin. The credibility of the call rests on the company's track record of procurement hedging and surcharge discipline, which has generally been strong relative to smaller peers. Worth watching is whether competitors offer matching guidance in their own commentary, since convergent reads across the group tend to validate the input-cost path while divergent ones flag company-specific sourcing issues.

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