US President Trump says the Iran war will end very soon, one way or another, speaking on the ‘Mundo in the Morning’ radio show; gasoline prices will drop after the end of war; doesn’t know who to talk to in Iran, as a lot of the leaders are gone
Newsquawk Staff ·
US President Trump says the Iran war will end very soon, one way or another, speaking on the ‘Mundo in the Morning’ radio show; gasoline prices will drop after the end of war; doesn’t know who to talk to in Iran, as a lot of the leaders are gone.
What it means
Off-the-cuff remarks on a conflict, delivered in a soft media format rather than a formal address, have historically moved crude and the energy complex only briefly unless corroborated by a concrete diplomatic track; the established pattern is that talk of imminent resolution deflates the geopolitical risk premium in oil, and the premium rebuilds if no follow-through materialises within days. The signal worth weighing is the admission of having no counterpart in Tehran: ceasefire or de-escalation claims carry less weight when the channel itself is described as absent, and past episodes of leaderless or decapitated adversary regimes have tended to prolong rather than shorten conflicts because there is no one empowered to sign or enforce an end. The explicit linkage to gasoline prices is the tell for the political motivation, and remarks framed around pump prices have historically preceded either coordinated supply measures or pressure on producers rather than battlefield outcomes. Transmission runs through crude into the inflation front end and rate expectations, with gold and the dollar taking the opposite side of any risk-premium unwind. Follow-ons are confirmation or denial from the other side, any movement in freight and insurance rates through the Gulf, and whether the administration's next steps match the rhetoric, since precedent shows the crude market fades unverified peace talk quickly.
- US President Trump posts "lINFLATION IS WAY DOWN UNDER “TRUMP.” INCOME FOR PEOPLE & COMPANIES IS WAY UP! The Golden Age of America Is Upon Us."
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] A firmer week for fixed income, amid central bank inaction and a tech sell-off
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] FTSE 100 outperforms following upbeat AZN LN and BP/ LN earnings; NQ dips below 29k amid disappointing tech earnings
- Russian Kremlin aide Ushakov says no date has been set yet for Russia-US-Ukraine talks, Interfax reports
- EUROPEAN OPEN: EVK GY reportedly to reject BAS GY EUR offer; BAYN GY wins St. Louis Roundup trial; AZN LN, SAN FP beats; ACA FP net income misses; NWG LN revenue miss, PBT beat; BP/ LN earnings top expectations
Related headlines
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] DXY softer with G10s broadly firmer; GBP leads as EUR/GBP prints a fresh 2026 low, USD/JPY dips after the BoJ2 hours ago
- Newsquawk Calendar of Key events - November 20263 hours ago
- Chinese President Xi tells Swiss President that the upgraded trade agreement fully reflects both nations' political courage and sense of responsibility in upholding open cooperation3 hours ago
- Chevron (CVX) CEO says Brent costs about USD 150/bbl once shipping is accounted for, CNBC1 hour ago
- Chevron (CVX) Q3 2026 (USD): adj. EPS 5.28 (exp. 4.86), Revenue 65bln (exp. 61.33bln)1 hour ago
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] Crude firmer amid focus on potential post-election US strikes on Iran; Dutch TTF above EUR 100/MWh, spot gold beneath USD 4,000/oz2 hours ago
- Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. (REGN) Q3 2026 (USD) Adj. EPS 20.07 (exp. 16.19), Revenue 5.1bln (exp. 4.56bln); Sees FY outlook for capex of USD 1.05 - 1.1bln1 hour ago
- Reddit (RDDT) says it signed an addendum in August 2026 to extend its cloud services agreement with Google (GOOGL) through 2029, according to an SEC filing1 hour ago
- Amazon (AMZN) says it held 164mln shares of Anthropic non-voting preferred stock as of September 30th, according to an SEC filing1 hour ago
- General Dynamics Corporation (GD) Q3 2026 (USD): EPS 4.49 (exp. 4.12), Revenue 14.6bln (exp. 13.7bln)57 min ago
- Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL) Q3 2026 (USD): Adj. EPS 0.97 (exp. 0.93), Sales 5.37bln (exp. 5.34bln)1 hour ago
- German Chancellor Merz says he is working to end the war in Iran as soon as possible, adding that the conflict has had a major impact on Europe3 hours ago
- IRGC Navy says two oil tankers attempting to transit the Strait of Hormuz via unauthorised routes caught fire and stopped in southern waters after ignoring repeated radio warnings, IRIB reports1 hour ago
- US has informed mediators that Iran abandoning its nuclear programme is the basis for any negotiations, Al Arabiya reports, citing sources1 hour ago
- BofA weekly flow data shows USD 56.2bln into stocks, USD 15.4bln into bonds, USD 3.4bln into cash, USD 0.5bln out of crypto, USD 1.7bln out of gold3 hours ago