BoE Chief Economist Pill says process of disinflation is intact, it is not complete; need to maintain monetary policy restrictiveness
Newsquawk Staff ·
- Underlying inflation should be focus of policy.
- Key question for me is whether firms' wage and price-setting plans are settling at levels slightly higher than consistent with 2% CPI.
- Disinflation is not rapid or as convincing as he had hoped.
- Growth in the UK is positive but not very dynamic and strong cyclical component.
- Trend productivity is not going back to where it was.
- Productivity improvements are cyclical and mechanical.
- More concerned about a step down than step up.
- Disinflation in underlying services is flattening.
What it means
BoE Chief Economist Pill's remarks suggest a cautious stance on disinflation, indicating that while the process is ongoing, it lacks the momentum needed for policy shifts. His focus on underlying inflation and concerns about wage-setting imply the BoE may maintain a restrictive policy approach, which could support British yields and the GBP in the near term, as markets weigh the interplay of inflation dynamics and growth prospects.
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