BoE Pill says should not be lulled into false sense of security by the decline in headline inflation driven by one-off factors; Disinflation is not complete, underlying pressures are key
Newsquawk Staff ·
- The disinflation process is advanced and intact.
What it means
Pill's comments suggest caution, emphasizing that while headline inflation may be declining, this is largely due to temporary factors. He maintains that underlying inflationary pressures remain significant, indicating that disinflation isn't fully achieved yet. This perspective may influence market expectations regarding future monetary policy and the Bank of England's rate path, potentially supporting the GBP and impacting fixed income yields.
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] Crude grinds higher, Dutch TTF remains just under EUR 100/MWh, metals subdued
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] Contained, but a bearish skew, across fixed income into the UK Budget and FOMC
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] Antipodeans diverge as AUD saw strong CPI and NZD slumped on a surprise RBNZ hold, DXY awaits the Fed
- BoE is to kick off short and precautionary tightening cycle in November, according to a forecast from FT's Monetary Policy Radar team
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] DXY takes a breather after recent gains and heading into the FOMC, while NZD slumps on RBNZ's surprise pause
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