CRUDE WRAP: WTI (X6) SETTLES USD 1.04 HIGHER AT 90.42/BBL
CRUDE WRAP: WTI (X6) SETTLES USD 1.04 HIGHER AT 90.42/BBL
Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) discloses fatal liver injury in phase 3 fibrosis programme
US Senators will delay an attempt to win approval of permanent Chinese car ban until November
Open the platform and use it. The whole workspace is free to try, with no signup and no card. When you want the headlines arriving live instead of on a delay, Newsquawk Pro is £24.99 for 7 days.
The crude complex saw gains, recovering earlier losses, amid seemingly little progress on US-Iran talks while the Abqaiq oil city in Saudi Aarabia was attacked by the Houthis. WTI and Brent hit lows of USD 88.58/bbl and USD 95.12/bbl, respectively, in the European morning as they initially extended Tuesday's losses. However, benchmarks soon reversed, with some citing the FlyDubai incident as the initial catalyst, although it was later reported to involve a rogue pilot who was tackled by other pilots and passengers. There was otherwise little headline-specific news at the time to explain the recovery despite plenty of geopolitical newsflow, although it was later reported that the Houthis attacked the Abqaiq oil city in eastern Saudi Arabia during the afternoon. Trump reiterated that developments regarding Iran will be seen very soon and said there have been historic flows of oil out of Hormuz over the past three days.
On the supply front, sources suggested OPEC+ producers are set to keep output targets unchanged at Sunday's meeting. Meanwhile, in the weekly EIA data, crude stocks saw a slightly larger build than expected, while both distillates and gasoline posted larger-than-expected draws. Overall, weekly crude production rose 16k BPD W/W to 13.955mln BPD.
Meanwhile, many were reporting the Kpler data that showed crude oil exports from the Strait of Hormuz has basically returned to levels seen before the Iran war, thanks to US military escorts boosting shipments and pipelines redirecting flows. Kpler noted that crude transiting the Straight reached a seven-day average of 13.5mln BPD as of Monday. Regarding the Middle East as a whole, including the Red Sea and Persian Gulf, Kper data found shipments are sometimes higher than pre war levels - reaching a seven-day average f 19.5mln BPD, above the pre-war baseline of 17mln BPD. However, JPMorgan emphasised although crude shipments have normalised, refined product supplies remain constrained.
Sessions of this kind, where crude sells off in the European morning and then recovers the full loss into the settle on geopolitical headlines, are the standard pattern whenever the prompt market is trading a live Middle East risk premium: the bid tends to come back on any headline touching Saudi infrastructure or Hormuz, and fades just as quickly when flows prove uninterrupted. The distinction that matters here is between the headline attack on Abqaiq and the flow data: Kpler showing Hormuz crude exports back near pre-war levels, and regional shipments above baseline on escorted tankers and pipeline diversion, argues the physical crude market is functioning, while the attack itself speaks to tail risk on processing capacity rather than current supply. JPMorgan's point that refined product balances remain tight even as crude normalises is consistent with the EIA print: a crude build alongside larger-than-expected gasoline and distillate draws, which historically steepens product cracks rather than flat price. The FlyDubai episode is a reminder of how thin the headline filter is in this tape: a story that turned out to be a rogue pilot was enough to mark the low. Follow-ons are the OPEC+ meeting at the weekend, where sources point to unchanged targets, any confirmation or denial of damage at Abqaiq, and whether product draws persist in next week's inventory data, since that is the channel through which this conflict is actually tightening markets.
Related headlines
- US EQUITY OPEN: Indices open in the green post cooler-than-expected PCE as MU numbers await5 hours ago
- Israeli PM Netanyahu will speak with US President Trump tonight, reports i242 hours ago
- Pakistan Defence Minister, while refusing to comment on any possible participation of his country's forces in Saudi attacks on Yemen, claimed that Pakistan will use every possible means to defend Saudi Arabia against what he called foreign attacks.3 hours ago
- Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson says European weapons factories producing arms for Ukraine are legitimate military targets for Russia4 hours ago
- US Midterm Update: Democratic sweep odds little changed at 63%3 hours ago
- US President Trump says last American forces are leaving Iraq1 hour ago
- US President Trump to announce eight nuclear power plants funded by South Korea as part of South Korea's USD 200bln US investment5 hours ago
- US Preisdent Trump says you will see things happening very soon (regarding Iran); there has been historic flows of oil out of Hormuz in the last three days1 hour ago
- India PM Modi says he had a productive conersation with US President Trump5 hours ago
- USTR Greer says 10 more trade deals are on the way; is in frequent contact with Canada counterpart, if they want a deal, our door is always open1 hour ago
- China's MOFCOM says China and Canada hold meeting on economy and trade5 hours ago
- EIA Expectations: Crude 0.5M, Distillate -0.351M, Gasoline -1M4 hours ago
- Goldman Sachs shifts Fed forecast to a December hike (prev. October)2 hours ago
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow cuts its Q3 GDP growth estimate to 3.7% (prev. 5.0%)4 hours ago
- EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change (Sep/25) 0.553M (Prev. 2.266M)4 hours ago
- US EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change (Sep/25) -0.554M (Prev. -0.519M)4 hours ago
- US EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change (Sep/25) -0.620M (Prev. 0.346M)4 hours ago
- US EIA Crude Oil Imports Change (Sep/25) -0.468M (Prev. 0.369M)4 hours ago
- US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Sep/25) 0.922M vs. Exp. -0.3M (Prev. 2.969M)4 hours ago
- Caterpillar (CAT) intends to invest approximately USD 1bln in North Carolina to expand manufacturing capacity for products that support its growing Cat CompactSM business6 hours ago
The whole workspace, free to try.
Try it free