ECB's Lane warned that a prolonged war in the Middle East and a persistent decline in oil and gas supplies could cause a “substantial spike” in inflation and a sharp fall in output in the Eurozone, according to FT

ECB's Lane's warning about a prolonged conflict in the Middle East highlights a significant risk to the Eurozone's economic stability, suggesting that such geopolitical events could lead to increased inflation and reduced output. Traders should consider how this could affect ECB policies moving forward, particularly regarding interest rates and overall economic growth. Expect fluctuations in the EUR and potential reactions in energy markets as these risks unfold.