Fed's Hammack (2026 Voter) says are not yet seeing signs that inflation expectations are rising; firms have been very resilient amid much change

  • Job market stable amid meagre job creation.
  • Warsh is approaching his new job with an open mind, and is asking a lot of questions.
  • Looks at a wide range of inflation indicators.
  • Economic uncertainty is very high so policy outlook is uncertain.
  • Expects next FOMC will have robust debate.
  • Weighing multiple scenarios around a war that's gone on longer than expected.
  • Contacts say even swift end to war will have lasting disruptions.
  • Haven't seen war impact on consumer spending yet.
  • Main concern is inflation is too high and still rising.
  • Inflation might need help from policy to reach 2%.
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