Fed's Kashkari (2026 Voter) says it is too soon to assess Iran conflict impact on inflation, it could have an impact on monetary policy
Kashkari's comments suggest a cautious stance regarding the impact of geopolitical events, like the Iran conflict, on inflation and monetary policy.
US President Trump says everything knocked out in Iran and we're doing very well; felt strongly Iran was going to attack first, based on the way talks were going; if anything, might have forced Israel's hand
Senior IRGC official says Iran has vowed to hit all regional economic centres if its main centres are hit
Fed's Kashkari (2026 Voter) says it is too soon to assess Iran conflict impact on inflation, it could have an impact on monetary policy
US considering oil tanker insurance support to ease Middle East crude shipments, according to sources
Loud bangs were heard in Dubai, Doha and Abu Dhabi, according to a witness
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- Policy is in a good place.
- Uncertainty around tariffs has increased.
- Does not think latest round of tariffs will have a fresh inflation impact.
- Near term AI investment probably pushing up neutral rate.
- Expects housing inflation pressures to moderate.
- Inflation was headline in the right direction until the Iran war arrived.
- March SEPs will have more uncertainty.
- Expects Warsh to do well as Fed Chair.
- Current policy tool kit is complicated and worth debating.
- Powell has done a great job. Would love it if he stayed on as governor.
While he notes current policies are well-positioned, the uncertainty he cites regarding tariffs and inflation may indicate a more complex outlook for future rate decisions. This could lead traders to re-evaluate expectations for Fed actions, especially ahead of the March SEPs update.
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