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Mohamed A. El-Erian writes, following the dovish UK jobs report earlier in the week, "today's inflation numbers reinforce the likelihood that the Bank of England will resume interest rate cuts next month."

El-Erian's commentary highlights an expectation for the Bank of England to cut interest rates next month, supported by a dovish jobs report and recent inflation data.

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[MARKET UPDATE] Market pricing is, post-UK CPI, even more torn between a March vs April cut

Additional European Equity News

Mohamed A. El-Erian writes, following the dovish UK jobs report earlier in the week, "today's inflation numbers reinforce the likelihood that the Bank of England will resume interest rate cuts next month."

BAE Systems (BA/ LN) FY (GBP): Underlying EBIT 3.32bln (exp. 3.27bln), Div/shr 36.3p (exp. 35.5p), Revenue 30.7bln (exp. 30.7bln); guides FY26 underlying EBIT +9-11%, Revenue +7-9%

Iran and Russia are reportedly said to conduct navy drills in the Sea of Oman and Northern Indian Ocean on February 19th

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Context

This suggests a shift in monetary policy that could impact the GBP negatively and lower yields in fixed income markets as investors recalibrate for softer rates. The statement reinforces concerns about economic growth and inflation dynamics in the UK.

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