Philadelephia Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey (Feb): Regional business activity -17.3 (prev. -4.2), Firm business activity 5.8 (prev. -16.2)
Newsquawk Staff ·
- New Orders: -9.3 (prev. 5.5)
- Sales/Revenues: 8.2 (prev. 24.8)
- Unfilled Orders: -10.1 (prev. 2.1)
- Inventories: -5.8 (prev. -3.5)
- Prices Paid: 40.7 (prev. 34.5)
- Prices Received: 22.0 (prev. 13.2)
- Full-Time Employment: 10.6 (prev. 9.7)
- Part-Time/Temporary Employment: 5.5 (prev. -0.4)
- Average Employee Workweek: 29.5 (prev. 9.6)
- Wage and Benefit Costs: 30.0 (prev. 37.2)
- CapEx – Physical Plant: 9.6 (prev. 5.0)
- CapEx – Equipment & Software: 19.0 (prev. 5.2)
Six-Month Outlook
- Regional Business Activity (6m): 14.2 (prev. 10.3)
- Firm Business Activity (6m): 31.7 (prev. 33.7)
What it means
The Philadelphia Fed's Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey shows a sharp decline in regional business activity, falling to -17.3, indicating significant weakening. However, some areas, like firm business activity and employment figures, have improved, suggesting mixed signals that could complicate the Fed's rate decisions. This data may shift market sentiment around the economy's resilience and potential inflation risks, particularly affecting the USD and fixed income markets.
Sources
- US EQUITY OPEN: Indices rangebound ahead of FOMC and major earnings
- UK DMO says gross gilt issuance planned for 2026/27 is GBP 250.6bln (exp. 249.6bln, prev. 246.2bln in April remit)
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] Crude grinds higher, Dutch TTF remains just under EUR 100/MWh, metals subdued
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] Contained, but a bearish skew, across fixed income into the UK Budget and FOMC
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] Antipodeans diverge as AUD saw strong CPI and NZD slumped on a surprise RBNZ hold, DXY awaits the Fed
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