RBNZ Assistant Governor Silk says the easing cycle is likely over and there are risks on either side, adds maintaining accommodative policy for a while aligns with economic conditions
The RBNZ's Assistant Governor indicates that the easing cycle is likely at its end, which suggests a shift toward a more hawkish stance than previously expected.
[MARKET ANALYSIS] T-note futures languish at this week's lows after retreating on better-than-expected US data and rising energy prices
[MARKET ANALYSIS] Oil prices take a breather after rallying yesterday by more than 4% on US-Iran frictions
RBNZ Assistant Governor Silk says the easing cycle is likely over and there are risks on either side, adds maintaining accommodative policy for a while aligns with economic conditions
[MARKET UPDATE] ASX 200 hits fresh record highs amid the positive risk appetite and recent gains in commodity prices, while AUD/USD is underpinned following the jobs data
WSJ's Timiraos notes regarding the January Fed meeting minutes that it was interesting there was no date specified for when inflation gets to 2%, and instead minutes states that forecast is "slightly higher, on balance"
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Says:
- Maintaining the OCR where it supports closure of the output gap.
- Even with a minor hike, rates would reach just the lower bound of the neutral band.
Maintaining accommodative policy aligns with current economic conditions, but the commentary on potential risks suggests caution for future rate moves. Traders should watch for implications on the NZD and fixed income, as this could affect expectations around future monetary policy adjustments.
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