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Spanish HCOB Services PMI (Jan) 53.5 vs. Exp. 56.6 (Prev. 57.1)

The Spanish HCOB Services PMI coming in at 53.5, significantly below expectations and prior figures, signals a softening growth trajectory in the sector.

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Spanish HCOB Services PMI (Jan) 53.5 vs. Exp. 56.6 (Prev. 57.1)

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  • "Growth of business activity in Spain’s services sector softened at the beginning of the year, albeit from a high level. While this points to a normalization of growth dynamics, the sector’s overall expansion remains robust."
  • "New orders data reveal a moderation in demand momentum, with foreign orders in particular declining, especially from key euro area partners, whose weaker economic performance is increasingly reflected in Spanish export demand."
  • "Despite the slowdown in January, firms remain confident about the business outlook for the year ahead. This optimism is also mirrored in hiring intentions: companies anticipate a higher workload and continued growth and are therefore seeking to expand capacity."
Context

While the overall business activity remains robust, the decline in new orders—particularly from key euro area partners—indicates that external demand pressures could weigh on Spain's economic outlook. Nonetheless, firms' optimism about future growth and hiring intentions suggests a resilient long-term perspective, which could influence market sentiment and EU economic forecasts.

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