TD is now expecting the RBA to raise rates by 25bps at its next meeting in February

TD's expectation of a 25bps rate hike from the RBA in February signals a potentially hawkish shift in monetary policy.

Newsquawk StaffPublished 9 Jan 2026, 00:39 UTCOn the live feed at 00:19 UTC — 3 more headlines followed before this page went public

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00:29

PBoC is expected to set USD/CNY mid-point at 6.9832 (prev. 7.0197)

00:26

US Treasury Secretary Bessent says US won't force institutional investors to divest from home buying, also says lowering the suspicious activity report threshold to USD 3,000 and noted probe related to money services businesses in Minnesota

00:19

TD is now expecting the RBA to raise rates by 25bps at its next meeting in February

00:05

Palestinian media reports Israeli raids continue on various areas of the Gaza Strip, according to Sky News Arabia

00:01

[MARKET UPDATE] Asia-Pac stocks follow suit to the mixed performance stateside with some cautiousness ahead of the looming NFP report, while Japanese stocks outperform following strong Household Spending data

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Context

This may influence market pricing for Australian bonds and the AUD, particularly if it diverges from current market expectations. Traders should assess the implications for risk assets and overall sentiment regarding rate trajectories in Australia.

Central Banks · last 90 days

Recent headlines that moved markets

CENTRAL BANKS/20 Aug · 07:30 UTC

Riksbank maintains its rate at 1.75% as expected; assesses that the probability of a rate increase later this year remains; there is considerable uncertainty and developments call for vigilance

Market, after we published+0.3%

SEK was little changed after the announcement was broadly as expected; EUR/SEK moved higher from 11.01 to a peak of 11.02. Ten minutes post-announcement, EUR/SEK moves a little higher, moving to a peak just below 11.03.

CENTRAL BANKS/13 Aug · 08:00 UTC

Norges Bank maintains its rate at 4.25% as expected; may still become necessary to raise the policy rate

Market, after we published+0.6%

CENTRAL BANKS/12 Aug · 09:07 UTC

The PBoC is to conduct overnight reverse repos on August 14th and between August 17th-19th

FX/9 Sept · 15:01 UTC

US Treasury Buyback: Treasury to buy back a maximum of USD 6bln in 10-20year Treasuries on Thursday (vs guidance for at least USD 4bln).

USD/JPY, after we published+0.4%

ENERGY/8 Sept · 19:50 UTC

Iran launched an attack against US Navy ships on Monday that the US military has yet to acknowledge, WSJ reports, citing US officials.

Brent crude, after we published+0.8%

EQUITIES/8 Sept · 05:24 UTC

Saudi Energy Minister says a number of energy facilities and utilities were hit; are temporarily halting some operations.

Equity indices, after we published−0.3%

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