ANZ now sees the RBA raising rates by 25bps at its meeting next week, while it views this as a single insurance tightening and not the start of a series of hikes
Newsquawk Staff ·
ANZ now sees the RBA raising rates by 25bps at its meeting next week, while it views this as a single insurance tightening and not the start of a series of hikes.
What it means
ANZ's forecast of a 25bps rate hike from the RBA next week suggests a cautious approach to inflation, positioning it as an "insurance tightening" rather than the onset of a sustained rate hiking cycle. This indicates that while the RBA is responding to inflationary pressures, they may not be committed to a series of increases, which could lead to a lower volatility outlook for AUD and bond yields. Traders should watch for market reactions in both FX and fixed income, particularly if this view gains traction.
- US FX WRAP: Dollar sees two-way trade on geopols as US midterms await
- US EQUITY OPEN: Tech pares back some recent losses as US/Iran negotiations and US midterms are in focus
- Newsquawk Daily US Opening News - 3rd November 2026
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] DXY trades tentatively into midterms; AUD lags post-RBA, which avoided further hawkish guidance
- EUROPEAN OPEN: AAPL falls on margin outlook; NVDA tells partners to limit China exposure; BAYN GY raises FY26 EBITDA view; PHIA NA Q3 beat; fuel costs hit LHA GY FY26 EBIT view; Aramco net profit +35%; SHEL LN sells North West Shelf stakes for USD 1.45bln
Related headlines
- Newsquawk US Market Wrap - Stocks mixed on AI rebound ahead of US midterms5 days ago
- Sysco (SYY) executives expect basket inflation below 1% in Q2 and between 1% and 1.5% for the full year, down from its budgeted 1.5-2% assumption, creating near term P&L pressure5 days ago
- TREASURY WRAP: T-NOTE FUTURES (Z6) SETTLE 11+ TICKS LOWER AT 106-165 days ago
- Newsquawk US Daily Equity Opening News - AAPL falls on margin outlook; PLTR falls as US commercial growth slows5 days ago
- ECB's Kocher says it is crucial to prevent inflation from becoming entrenched5 days ago
- ECB's Radev says the economic environment is getting more challenging; October pause does not mean the tightening cycle is over5 days ago
- Israel has shared intelligence with the US asserting that Iran is considering the use of chemical weapons against its adversaries, information met with alarm by some American officials and deep skepticism by others, NYT reports citing sources5 days ago
- Newsquawk Daily Economic Releases - 4th November 20265 days ago
- US, Chinese and Russian officials are reportedly in talks regarding a possible trilateral summit between President Trump, Chinese President Xi and Russian President Putin later in November, at the Apec summit in Shenzhen, FT reports citing sources5 days ago
- Newsquawk Daily US Earnings Estimates - 4th November 2026: CVS, UBER, MCD, QCOM, MCK, ARM5 days ago
- US BROKER MOVES: BE upgraded at Barclays; MRVL downgraded at TD Cowen5 days ago
- US Midterms Cheat Sheet for Traders5 days ago
- [ANALYSIS] US Midterms: Senate, Governor and PUC indicative timings5 days ago
- ECB’s Nagel says he is confident that France will get a grip on its budget issues; This isn't a task for monetary policy5 days ago
- ECB’s Sleijpen says the Iran shock is more persistent than earlier thought but we don’t really see second-round effects yet5 days ago