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Banxico Deputy Governor Heath says at its next monetary policy decision, the board will carefully evaluate behaviour of core inflation. Will be watching core inflation, if it is in-line with forecasts there could be a rate cut as soon as March

Banxico's Deputy Governor Heath's commentary suggests a cautious approach to potential monetary easing, contingent on core inflation aligning with forecasts.

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Banxico Deputy Governor Heath says at its next monetary policy decision, the board will carefully evaluate behaviour of core inflation. Will be watching core inflation, if it is in-line with forecasts there could be a rate cut as soon as March

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  • Near-enough no one thinks the inflation target will be met in Q2-2027.
Context

Given that the market largely expects the inflation target to be unmet until 2027, this stance hints at a delicate balance between supporting growth and addressing ongoing price pressures, making any implied rate cut more nuanced than it may appear.

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