ECB Consumer Expectations Survey (Dec):

The ECB Consumer Expectations Survey reveals higher-than-expected inflation expectations across all time frames, suggesting persistent inflation concerns among consumers.

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Pantheon's Vistesen writes "State CPIs in Germany coming in very hot here, at least relative to our expectations; this will be a bad day for ECB doves, by the looks of it."

ECB Consumer Expectations Survey (Dec):

Italian GDP Growth Rate YoY Adv (Q4) Y/Y 0.8% vs. Exp. 0.5% (Prev. 0.6%)

Italian GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv (Q4) Q/Q 0.3% vs. Exp. 0.2% (Prev. 0.1%)

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Inflation:

  • 1-year CPI expectations 2.8% vs exp. 2.7% (prev. 2.8%)
  • 3-year CPI expectations 2.6% vs exp. 2.4% (prev. 2.5%)
  • 5-year CPI expectations 2.4% vs  (prev. 2.2%)

Growth:

  • 1-year expectations -1.1% (prev. -1.3%)
Context

This could imply a need for a more aggressive monetary policy response from the ECB if expectations remain elevated, influencing both interest rates and the EUR's value amid ongoing growth challenges.

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