ECB's Schnabel (Hawk) says ECB is still in a good place, but Iran war creates upside inflation risks; ECB must monitor persistence of energy price shock
Schnabel's remarks suggest a hawkish stance, acknowledging that while inflation is currently manageable and expected to align with the ECB's target, the situation in Iran poses potential upward risks.
Azeri BTC Crude oil exports from Ceyhan port reportedly set at 16.38mln bbls in April (vs 14.95mln in March)
Iran reportedly launches an attack on US forces in Bahrain, according to state media
ECB's Schnabel (Hawk) says ECB is still in a good place, but Iran war creates upside inflation risks; ECB must monitor persistence of energy price shock
Trump admin is to reportedly allow sale of some Venezuelan gold in the US, according to reports
Fed's Schmid (2028 Voter, Hawk) says businesses are pausing on hiring
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- Small and temporary inflation overshoot is of little relevance if expectations remain anchored.
- Post pandemic lessons suggest ECB must tread careful.
- With inflation projected to be at our target over the medium term and inflation expectations anchored, monetary policy remains in a good place.
This indicates the ECB is vigilant and may need to consider adjusting their approach should energy prices become persistently high, affecting the overall monetary policy landscape and interest rates.
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